Leyton Orient vs Manchester City stats predictions (Future games based on history)
Why Bother Predicting Future Football Games?
Woke up Sunday feeling bored, figured I’d mess around with football stats since Man City crushed Leyton Orient last time. Grabbed my laptop thinking it’d be quick. Man, was I wrong.
First thing, needed match history data. Typed “Leyton Orient vs Man City past games” into Google. Found a site showing they’d played like 10 times since 1900s – total slaughter every time. City always scored 3+ goals. Copied all those ugly numbers into Excel until my eyes crossed.
- Dumped every scoreline since 1929 into messy rows
- Marked home/away games with dumb yellow highlights
- Calculated average goals per match (nearly fell asleep doing math)
Noticed something funny – Leyton Orient NEVER beat City. Not once. Felt kinda bad for them honestly. Their only “win” was a match abandoned in the 40s because of fog.
Building My Ghetto Prediction Model
Made a trashy formula: (City’s average goals x 1.2) + (Orient’s weak defense x 0.5). Sounds fancy but it’s just common sense with extra steps. Plugged in last 5 years’ data – kept getting City winning 4-0 or 5-1.
Then remembered cup games matter too. Checked FA Cup records: City smashing lower teams 6-0 happens like breakfast routine. Added that in as “cup destruction factor”. My spreadsheet looked like toddler finger-painting by this point.
The Reality Check Part
Tried showing this genius model to my mate Dave at pub. He laughed his beer out through nose. “City could play blindfolded and still stomp ’em!” Made me realize sometimes stats just state the obvious.
Final prediction? Unless aliens swap City squad with nursery kids, 3-0 City win feels generous to Orient. Whole project took 4 hours and proved exactly nothing new. But hey, at least I didn’t bet actual money this time.
